Two law firms in a community handle all the cases dealing with consumer suits against companies in the area. The Abercrombie firm takes 40% of all suits, and the Olson firm handles the other 60%. The Abercrombie firm wins 70% of its cases, and the Olson firm wins 60% of its cases.
a. Develop a probability tree showing all marginal, conditional, and joint probabilities.
b. Develop a joint probability table.
c. Using Bayes’ rule, determine the probability that the Olson firm handled a particular case, given that the case was won.

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

Part A: Diagram

Psrt B:

Joint Probability Table

Firms                                     Success                           Failure        

Abercrombie                          0.28                                   0.12

Oslon                                      0.36                                  0.24

Part C :  P (O/S)       =0.5625

Explanation:

The probability tree can be drawn as follows

Part A:

║⇒⇒P (A) = 0.4⇒⇒⇒⇒║⇒⇒⇒⇒P (S/A)= 0.7⇒⇒⇒⇒ P (A∩S)= 0.28

║                                     ║

║                                     ║⇒⇒⇒⇒ P (F/A)= 0.3⇒⇒⇒ P (A∩F)= 0.12

║⇒⇒⇒P (O)= 0.6⇒⇒⇒⇒║⇒⇒⇒⇒P (S/O)= 0.6⇒⇒ P (O∩S)= 0.36

                                          ║

                                          ║⇒⇒⇒P (F/O)= 0.4⇒⇒ P (O∩F)= 0.24

The marginal Probability of the two firms

P (A)= 0.4

P (O)= 0.6

Where   P (A) is the probability of Abercrombie firm

P (O)  is the probability of Olson firm

The conditional probabilities are given by

P (S/A)= 0.7

P (F/A)= 0.3

Where   P (S/A) is the conditional  probability of Success of  Abercrombie firm

P (F/A)  is the conditional  probability of failure of  Abercrombie firm

Similarly

P (S/O)= 0.6

P (F/O)= 0.4

P (S/O) is the conditional  probability of Success of  Oslon firm

P (F/O)  is the conditional  probability of failure of  Oslon firm

The probability table is given by

Firms                         Marginal          Conditional                Joint    

Abercrombie          0.4                     0.7                            0.28

                                                          0.3                           0.12

Oslon                     0.6                     0.6                            0.36

                                                        0.4                             0.24

Joint Probability Table

Firms                                     Success                           Failure        

Abercrombie                          0.28                                   0.12

Oslon                                      0.36                                  0.24

Part C :

Using Bayes Rule:

P (O/S) =   P ( O) P( S/O)/ P ( O) P( S/O)+ P (A) P(S/ A)

              = 0.6*0.6/ 0.6*0.6+0.4*0.7

              =0.36/ 0.36+0.28

              =0.5625


Related Questions

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A 10 percent increase in the price of soda leads to a 20 percent increase in the quantity of iced tea demanded. It appears that:

A.
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B.
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Answers

Answer:

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The journal entries necessary to reflect the transactions

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false as discussed in the textbook, disruptive innovations are more likely to come from large corporations with extensive resources.

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Why disruptive technologies can lead to the failure of huge companies?

Due to the fact that disruptive innovations do not please their existing clients, the majority of large companies are not comfortable with them. They solely pay attention to the needs of regular consumers. Customers will continue to evolve items if they want better ones.

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Financial Variables
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Answers

12.5% of the assets are devoted to inventory.

8.9 times the inventory turnover rate.

What is the calculation?

Inventory as a percentage of assets = total inventory / total assets × 100

= (0.69 + 0.22 + 0.79) / 13.6 × 100

= 12.5%

Inventory turnover = cost of sales / inventory

= 15.2 / (0.69 + 0.22 + 0.79)

= 8.9 times (rounded)

Both the raw materials used in production and the finished commodities that are offered for sale are included in the definition of inventory. Because the turnover of an organization's inventory is one of the main sources of revenue generation and, consequently, profitability for the firm's shareholders, it is one of the most significant assets that a company has.

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In order to gather specific data by a company regarding a defined issue, it will use a combination of primary research, secondary data, normative data, selective data, and universal sampling.

Primary research is data that is collected by the company itself, either through surveys, interviews, focus groups, or observation. Primary research is often used when there is no already existing data to draw upon, and it can be costly and time consuming. Primary research is useful for gathering specific data that can be tailored to the company’s needs.

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Senior Vice President of Theatre Operations
Media Production Accountant
Social Media Director, Film Marketing Agency
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Note: You might have to use a broader search term, such as operations manager, accountant, or marketing manager, to find information on these careers.

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Your slideshow must include the following:

Content
A description of each of the three careers that you researched, including what tasks the job requires and why the job is so important
A breakdown of the education requirements for each career, including subjects that might be beneficial in preparing for each career
The projected annual salary for someone in each career and the job outlook according to the Bureau of Labor
A summary of why you think this job is a good choice for someone who is interested in “show business”
Elements
Five slides, broken down in this way:
One slide for each career, containing the content from the first three bullet points above
One slide for the summary, containing the content from the last bullet point above
One slide for your bibliography
Three pictures, one for each of the three careers you are presenting

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They consist of:

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In terms of Theatrical Makeup Artist role: Any makeup used by the performers must look well, and that is the responsibility of the makeup artist. In order to develop a look for each actor that will visually support the character, the makeup artist collaborates closely with the costume designer.

In terms of Choreographer role: Working together with the director and musical director, a choreographer creates and choreographs the dance or stylized movement for musical productions. A choreographer collaborates with dancers to develop and interpret concepts and turn them into the final performance.

The credentials are required to be a stage manager are:

A foundation degree, higher national diploma, or degree in stage management, or a course in a similar field like performing arts production, are all options.technical theater and a theater in practice.

The credentials  for Makeup Artists are:

Bachelor, Fashion & Beauty Makeup Artist; Bachelor of Arts in Make Up for Media and Performance.Hair design and makeup artistry.Artistry & Effects in Makeupcollegiate media makeup

Lastly, Despite the fact that a master's degree is frequently required to teach at the university level, many choreographers hold bachelor's degrees in dance. Beginning their careers as professional dancers, choreographers frequently take on jobs as assistant choreographers or in positions that are comparable.

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TRUE OR FALSE the fed aggressively lowered interest rates in 2008 all the way down to nearly zero percent and kept those historically low rates for the following six years.

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What are the current interest rates?

According to Bankrate's most recent survey of the biggest mortgage lenders in the US, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will be 6.600% with an APR of 6.610% on Thursday, December 15, 2022. With an APR of 6.030%, the typical 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.000%.

Why is interest right now so high?

The Federal Reserve has started raising interest rates in an effort to calm down fast growing inflation. In light of these moves, many individuals are now perplexed as to why rate increases, which raise the cost of borrowing money, remain America's main tool for reducing costs.

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All else constant, Utopia currently has less capital than Dystopia. If both countries increase their capital by 50 units, and other factors that determine potential output are unchanged, thenO output in Utopia increases by less than in Dystopia. O output in Utopia increases by more than in Dystopia.O output in Utopia can increase by more or less than in DystopiaO output in Utopia increases by the same amount as in Dystopia.

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If both Utopia and Dystopia increase their capital by 50 units and other factors that determine potential output are unchanged, then C) output in Utopia can increase by more or less than in Dystopia.

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In the case mentioned above, Utopia has less capital than Dystopia but if it increases its capital by 50 units, it might happen that this capital is used on such investments or business plans that might be able to generate an effective output as compared to that of Dystopia. Hence, if all other factors are kept constant, the output can either be more or less for Utopia based on the strategies that it implements.

The question will correctly be written as:

All else constant, Utopia currently has less capital than Dystopia. If both countries increase their capital by 50 units, and other factors that determine potential output are unchanged, then

A) output in Utopia increases by less than in Dystopia.

B) output in Utopia increases by more than in Dystopia.

C) output in Utopia can increase by more or less than in Dystopia.

D) output in Utopia increases by the same amount as in Dystopia.

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bonnie purchased a camera (5-year property) for use in her sole proprietorship. the basis of the camera was $3,000. bonnie used the camera in her business 80 percent of the time and used it for personal purposes the rest of the time during the first year. ignoring bonus depreciation, calculate bonnie's depreciation expense during the first year assuming the sole proprietorship had a loss during the year. (use macrs t

Answers

Bonnie's depreciation expense during first year assuming sole proprietorship had loss during the year is $360.

What is sole proprietorship?

There is no legal separation between the owner and the business entity in a sole proprietorship, which is also referred to as a sole tradership, individual entrepreneurship, or proprietorship. A sole proprietor may employ other persons in addition to working alone. The proprietor is the owner of all of the business's assets and is also responsible for all of its debts. Sole proprietors are permitted to use a trade name or company name other than their or the company's legal name. If their business name differs from their legal name, they may need to formally register a trademark for it; the procedure will depend on the nation in which they live.

Depreciation= $3,000 * 0.2 * 60% = $360.

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a measure of the percentage of individuals who visit the landing page of an online retailer triggered by an email marketing campaign is the

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The Conversion Rate is a metric used to describe the proportion of people who go to an online retailer's landing page after being directed there by an email marketing campaign and actually complete a purchase.

What exactly does the conversion rate in marketing mean?

Conversion rate is the number of users who take the desired action as a percentage of all users. Conversion rate's archetypal example is the percentage of website visitors who actually make a purchase there.

The percentage of site visitors that took the action you requested is indicated by your landing page conversion rate.

What does conversion rate provide as a measure of?

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All of the following are forms of direct marketing EXCEPT ______. A) personal selling. B) public relations. C) telephone marketing. D) direct-mail marketing

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Option (b), Except for public relations, all of the following are examples of direct marketing.

Describe direct marketing.

A marketing tactic in which organizations speak with potential customers directly in an effort to provoke a response or a purchase. directly responding to the media. Direct mail, telemarketing, interactive TV, print, and the internet, among other media, are examples.

Using direct communication with your target market to inform them about your company, product, or service is known as direct marketing.

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Shift in cost curves due to a relative change in input price Suppose a firm is initially producing 300 units of output at point B, where the purple line labeled Total Cost 1 lies tangent to the blue line labeled q = 300. Initially, the wage (w) is $10

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A cost curve is a graphical representation of the relationship between the total cost of production and the quantity of product produced.

Where the purple line labeled Total Cost 1 lies tangent to the blue line labeled q = 300. Initially, the wage (w) is $10?

If the wage (w) increases by 20% to $12, the cost curves will shift to the right, as can be seen in Total Cost 2. This rightward shift results in a decrease in the quantity produced, as seen in q = 250. The new tangency point lies at point C.

This shift in cost curves is due to the relative change in input price (in this case, the wage). Because the wage increased by 20%, the cost of producing each unit of output increases as well. This increase in cost leads to a reduction in the quantity produced, as it is no longer cost effective to produce the same quantity as before.

The same logic applies in the opposite direction. If the wage decreases by 20%, the cost curves will shift to the left, resulting in an increase in the quantity produced.

What does Total cost mean?

The total cost of a purchase or project is the sum of all costs associated with it. This includes the cost of materials and labor, as well as any additional fees or taxes related to the purchase. Total cost can also refer to the total amount of money invested in a business venture or project, including all capital and operating costs incurred throughout the project's life cycle.


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If Zeta, a single producer, had exclusive control of a key resource needed to produce good Z , a likely result would be which of the following?
a) Good Z would be produced in a perfectly competitive market.
b) Slight differences in output would lead to good Z being in a monopolistically competitive market.
c) There would be a barrier to entry, and Zeta would have a monopoly on good Z.
d) Only a few firms would produce good Z, so there would be an oligopoly.
e) Zeta must have decreasing returns to scale and operate as a natural monopoly in producing good Z.

Answers

The correct option is E. There would be a barrier to entry, and Zeta would have a monopoly on good Z.

A monopoly is when one enterprise and its product dominate a whole industry wherein there is little to no opposition and customers should purchase that specific precise or provider from the only agency. An oligopoly is a small wide variety of corporations, rather than simply one, dominating an entire enterprise.

Without competition, monopolies can set fees and preserve pricing regular and reliable for customers. Monopolies revel in economies of scale, regularly able to produce mass portions at decreased prices consistent with units. standing by myself as a monopoly allows a business enterprise to safely invest in innovation without the worry of competition. without opposition, monopolies can set prices and preserve pricing consistent and reliable for purchasers. Monopolies revel in economies of scale, regularly able to produce mass portions at decreased costs per unit. status on my own as a monopoly lets an organization soundly spend money on innovation without the worry of competition.

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Items 1 through 12 describe various types of transactions that an individual or business entity may be involved in. For each one, indicate the appropriate tax treatment. A tax treatment may be used once, more than once, or not at all. Note: The answer to 4 is G (if accelerated depreciation rules applied to real property, gain due to depreciation in excess of S/L depreciation would be Section 125 gain. B A. Long-term capital gain B. Long-term capital loss c. Short-term capital gain D. Short-term capital loss E. Section 1231 gain or loss F. Section 1245 gain G. Section 1250 gain H. Ordinary Income or loss I. Not deductible 1 2 4 Gain from sale of stock held 10 months Results form the sale of assets used in a trade or business for more than a year, such as land, buildings, or equipment, which are not held as inventory 3 Portion of a gain on the sale of a machine that is taxed as ordinary income Results from recapture of depreciation on real property 5 Gains are long-term capital gains and losses are ordinary if held for more than one year 6 Gain on sale of personal jewelry held long term 7 Loss on the sale of the personal residence lived in by the taxpayer and held long term 8 Results from recapture of depreciation on personal property 9 Gambling losses in a period in which there were no gambling winnings 10 Difference between sales price and cost of goods held as inventory for sale in the ordinary course of business hold 13 months 11. Results from the sale of assets, such as land, buildings, or equipment, used in a trade or business for one year or less 12 Excess of sales price over tax basis of a car inherited 3 months prior to sale

Answers

Items 1–12 outline several sorts of transactions in which an individual or  business entity may be involved. B 1 C. Capital Gain in the Short Term. 2 E. Section 1231 Gain or Loss, as well as others, are included.

Section 1245 Gain 3 F. Section 1250 Gain 4 G. Section 1231 Gain or Loss 5 E. Long Tern Capital Gain 6 A. 7 1. No Deduction. Section 1245 Gain, 8 F. 9 I. No Deduction. 10 H. Ordinary Profit or Loss. 11 H. Ordinary Profit or Loss. Long-Term Capital Gains. A "business entity" is any organisation that is founded to do business. Most businesses are organised in one of four ways: as sole proprietorships, partnerships, corporations, or limited liability companies (LLCs). The four most prevalent business structures are sole proprietorship, partnership, corporation, and S corporation. A business entity is an organisation founded to perform commerce. The form of entity impacts how a firm is taxed and how much liability its owner or owners face.

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Alison has an idea for improving the efficiency of her work area. When she approached herâsupervisor, she was asked to shepherd the idea through theâ approval, implementation, and evaluations processes. Alison has become aâ ________.
A.
change agent
B.
group leader
C.
supervisor
D.
job coach

Answers

She was asked by her supervisor to guide the proposal through the steps of approval, execution, and evaluation. Alison is now a catalyst for change.

Which of the following best describes the order in which the strategic management process should occur?

Setting goals, conducting analysis, developing a plan, putting that strategy into action, and monitoring that approach are the five stages of the process.

Which two aspects of strategic management are there?

adjusting the firm's limited resources in response to changes in the external environment in order to strengthen its position in the marketplace. The internal reactions to fresh action plans meant to improve the firm's competitive position make up the second dimension.

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as a result of advertising, the products or services of large advertisers are perceived as unique or better than competitors' products. this is referred to as .

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As a result of advertising, the products or services of large advertisers are perceived as unique or better than competitors' products. This is referred to as differentiation.

What does "product differentiation" entail?

The process of differentiating a good or service from rivals to make it more appealing to a specific target market is known as product differentiation in economics and marketing. In order to do this, you must set it out from both products made by other companies and other offerings from the same company.

What is the significance of product differentiation?

In the current financial scenario, product differentiation is crucial. It enables the seller to highlight the special features that make their product outstanding by comparing it to similar products on the market.

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Which of the following is true about easements?
1 The easement holder owns the land
2 It has no right to possession, only non-exclusive use of the land
3 It can be defined is the exact same thing as a right-of-way
4 The cost almost varies in direct portion to the amount of land involved

Answers

It can be defined is the exact same thing as a right-of-way is, true about easements. Thus, option 3 is correct.

What are the easements?

An easement is a single aspect right to use and/or enter another's real property without owning it. It is best exemplified by the right of way that one landowner, A, may have over the land of another.

An easement is the constitutional right to exercise privileges over the land of another person. This means that the public or an individual can cross or use someone else's land for a variety of reasons.

Therefore, option 3 is correct that, true statement about easements, is that it can be defined as the same thing as a right-of-way.

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manufacturers legally must:

aImagine how consumers might reasonably be expected to use or misuse their products b. May sometimes be expected to provide compensation resulting from even unreasonable misuse if that misuse becomes widespread . c. Both and b. . Neither a or b

Answers

Manufacturers legally must imagine how consumers might reasonably be expected to use or misuse their products and expect to provide compensation. Thus option C is correct.

Who is the manufacturer?

A manufacturer is a human or business that turns raw materials into finished products using a variety of tools, machinery, and procedures, and then sells those products to consumers, wholesalers, marketers, stores, or other makers who can use them to make more complicated products.

The retailer's inaction despite learning about a dangerous flaw. According to tort law, when a product causes a consumer injury but no one is to blame, the maker is still liable.

Legally, producers are required to consider the potential uses and abuses of customers' products and plan to compensate them. Therefore, option C is the correct option.

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Savings Mart is a national retail chain. To entice the company to open a mega store in its jurisdiction, the city of Populationville donated a 20- acre tract of land to be used for construction. The land was originally purchased by the city for $268,000 three years ago. The appraisal value at the time of the donation was $318,000. For what amount should Savings Mart record the donated land? Multiple Choice
O $268,000
O $293,000
O $318,000.
O $0; Donated assets are not recorded.

Answers

Savings Mart should record the donated land as $0. The donated property is not registered in the donee's books. The land was donated by the city of Population ville to induce Savings Mart to open a large store in their jurisdiction, so there was no cost to Savings Mart to purchase the land.

The city paid $268,000 for the land three years ago, but the assessed value at the time of the donation was $318,000. Despite this, Savings Mart should not even record land as an amount on its books; instead, the asset should be recorded as a $0 donation. This is in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which state that donated property should not be recorded on the recipient's books.

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in terms of innovation characteristics, a product is said to be compatible if question 31 options: 1) it provides greater value to the manufacturers than to the consumers. 2) the degree of social repercussions associated with it is high. 3) its benefits can be communicated easily. 4) it has a higher degree of complexity compared with its counterparts'. 5) it complies with the accepted behavior, values, and norms of the local market.

Answers

In terms of innovation characteristics, a product is said to be compatible if it complies with the accepted behavior, values, and norms of the local market.

Examples of product innovations

It includes the use of biodegradable oil-based polymers in Lego's world-famous bricks. Innovation also occurred with the introduction of the first electric cars to the automotive industry and continues to occur with the development of new batteries with increased range.

What serves as the basis for innovation?

The goal of innovation is to develop fresh concepts and tools that boost output, value, and productivity while using the same input. Innovation has been accountable for up to 85% of all economic growth, according to the aforementioned Stanford study.

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All of the following statements are true regarding an application by an insurer for a rate change EXCEPT
A. The application will be deemed approved 60 days after public notice unless the proposed adjustment exceeds 10% for personal lines or 25% for commercial lines.
B. The Commissioner will notify the public of any application by an insurer for a rate change.
C. The application will be deemed approved 60 days after public notice unless a consumer requests a hearing and the Commissioner grants the hearing.
D. The application will be deemed approved 60 days after public notice unless the Commissioner on his or her own motion determines to hold a hearing.

Answers

All of the following about an insurer's request for a rate change is accurate, with the exception that unless a customer asks for a hearing and the Commissioner permits it, the proposal will be presumed accepted 60 days after public notice. The right response in this case is option C.

An insurance company's request to alter the rates it charges for its insurance policies is referred to as an "application by an insurer for a rate modification." This might involve requests for premium increases, decreases, or other modifications to the policies terms and conditions.

For a number of reasons, insurance firms may submit applications for rate modifications. For instance, they can try to raise their rates if the price of providing coverage rises due to higher claim payments or changes in the price of medical treatment.

Additionally, they could try to modify their rates in reaction to shifting market dynamics like heightened competition or shifting client demand.

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The salesperson who joins a real estate company as an independent contractor will probably have to pay for his own

Answers

The independent contractor salesperson who joins a real estate firm will likely be responsible for covering his own hospitalization insurance.

A person whose job it is to sell products or services within a defined territory, in a physical place, or over the phone is known as a salesman or saleswoman. The salesperson is in charge of greeting clients, pointing them in the direction of the goods they require, and totaling transactions. If you want to succeed in sales, you must have excellent communication skills. A successful salesperson meets their sales targets and treats customers politely and helpfully.A salesperson is sometimes known as a sales rep. The terms "salesman" and "saleswoman" are still regularly used, despite the terms "salesperson" and "sales rep" being frequently used in their place.

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The independent contractor salesperson who joins a real estate firm will likely be responsible for covering his own hospitalization insurance.

A person whose job it is to sell products or services within a defined territory, in a physical place, or over the phone is known as a salesman or saleswoman. The salesperson is in charge of greeting clients, pointing them in the direction of the goods they require, and totaling transactions. If you want to succeed in sales, you must have excellent communication skills. A successful salesperson meets their sales targets and treats customers politely and helpfully. A salesperson is sometimes known as a sales rep. The terms "salesman" and "saleswoman" are still regularly used, despite the terms "salesperson" and "sales rep" being frequently used in their place.

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